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NCAA College Football 2011-12 Week 4 Picks - Late Games

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Fearless Rick's 2011-12 College Football Week 4 - Late Games

Rick Gagliano | September 24, 2011

All times Eastern - Click here for early games.

3:30 pm Kansas State Wildcats at Miami Hurricanes (-14, 49) - OK, the Hurricanes looked pretty darn good knocking off the Buckeyes on national TV last weekend, 24-6, and get somewhat of a break staying home to face unbeaten, 2-0 Kansas State.

The 'Canes have to get more production out of QB Jacory Harris, whose timing was a bit off in his first game of the year, but still efficient, hitting 16 of 23 passes for 123 yards. Harris did throw two picks, but that's not likely to be a problem against K-State.

The Wildcats have won both of their games, but they were a 10-7 win over Eastern Kentucky and a 37-0 walkover against Kent State. This is their first road game and Miami may be a bit too hot for them this time of year.

Prediction: Hurricanes 41 Wildcats 10


3:30 pm Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide (-11 1/2, 50 1/2) - A super SEC showdown is in store as both teams enter their conference opener with 3-0 records.

Despite the graduation of Ryan Mallett, the Hogs have gotten excellent play out of both of their QBs, junior Tyler Wilson and sophomore Brandon Mitchell, who have combined for 1040 yards passing, 7 TDs and 2 picks (both by Wilson). Mitchell is the better runner, while Tyler the preferred passer.

Alabama started the season with two QBs, but AJ McCarron settled that with his performance in the Tide's 27-11 win at Penn State. Phillip Sims may get in if McCarron stumbles. The Tide also has a wicked 1-2 punch in RBs Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy, who will test the Arkansas defense.

Arkansas gets a boost from having top-flight receiver Greg Childs back after missing the 38-28 win over Troy last week. With most of the country taking sides with Alabama, the 11 1/2 points is just too juicy to pass over the Hogs.

Prediction: Razorbacks 23 Crimson Tide 19


3:30 pm Florida State Seminoles (-1 1/2, 50 1/2) at Clemson Tigers - This may just be a showcase of the two most talented teams in the ACC. The 2-1 Seminoles fought valiantly against the Oklahoma Sooners last week, eventually falling 23-13, while the Clemson Tigers ended the Auburn Tigers 17-game winning streak - the nation's longest - with a convincing 38-24 victory to go to 3-0.

Florida State is banged up, with QB EJ Manuel healing a sprained non-throwing shoulder and receivers Scooter Haggins, Bert Reed and Kenny Shaw nursing various injuries. Haggins has already been ruled out.

Clemson racked up 624 yards of offense in their win over Auburn - third most in school history - but the Florida defense was stout against the Sooners and may be one of the best stopping units in the country.

Clemson Tajh Boyd threw for four TDs on 30 of 42 passes for 386 yards and will have all his weapons at his disposal, including #1 wideout Sammy Watkins.

This could be an instant classic, but Clemson has the edge on offense, home field and the injuries to Florida State may be too much for them to overcome.

Prediction: Tigers 31 Seminoles 26


3:30 pm Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas A&M Aggies (-3 1/2, 59 1/2) - Somewhat surprising to see the Aggies favored here, though it's likely because of home field advantage only. OK State has an edge offensively, third in the nation in scoring at 52.3 ppg and second in yardage at 601. The Aggies are no slouches themselves, scoring 41.5 ppg and 487.5 yards per outing after two games.

A&M boasts defense, having allowed just 10.5 points per game, but those stats were earned in wins over SMU and Idaho, two teams with substance but no depth. Oklahoma State has surrendered 27 points per game in wins over Louisiana-Lafayette, Arizona and Tulsa.

Recent match-ups between the two Big 12 teams have been close affairs, with Oklahoma State winning them both, 36-31, at A&M in 2009, and 38-35 at home last season. The big edge on defense gives A&M an opportunity to turn things around.

Prediction: Aggies 37 Cowboys 31


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8:00 pm LSU Tigers (-6, 50) at West Virginia Mountaineers - Here's the nationally-televised game of the week, and it probably doesn't get much better than two highly-ranked opponents, both unbeaten and looking for an early non-conference edge.

These two met last year under similar circumstances, with LSU taking a 20-14 win at home on September 25. The Mountaineers are a year older and wiser, especially QB Geno Smith, who has thus far avoided the errors of last season, throwing for 1008 yards, 7 TDs and 1 INT.

On the LSU side of the ball, QB Jarrett Lee has shown poise and determination and will not lose the game for the Tigers. LSU may have the best defense in the nation, allowing just 12 ppg to West Virginia's 18.7, and holding opponents to a mere 143 yards rushing over three games.

The Mountaineers have a rugged group and won't fold at home, though LSU may prevail in a very close call.

Prediction: Tigers 21 Mountaineers 17


8:00 pm Missouri Tigers at Oklahoma Sooners (-22, 56 1/2) - We close out the week with a couple of potential blowouts, the first of which will be Oklahoma's return home after beating Florida State on the road last week, 23-13.

The Sooners have a bitter rivalry with Missouri, but have a 7-1 edge in their last eight meetings, though the Tigers won at home last season, 36-27. Missouri's only loss was a 37-30 defeat at Arizona State two weeks back, followed by a 69-0 blowout over Western Illinois.

The Sooners aren't taking any prisoners here, and their defense looked much improved in the Florida State win. Ryan Broyles is probably the most feared receiver in the college ranks and QB Landry Jones has only hit on 71.6% of his passes (53-for-74) this season, but has only two TDs and a pair of picks. Look for Jones to improve his Heisman credentials as the Sooners blow out their border rivals.

Prediction: Sooners 48 Tigers 17


10:15 pm Oregon Ducks (-15, 65) at Arizona Wildcats - Arizona has a nice team with Nick Foles at QB and Justin Criner at wideout, but last week's 37-10 home loss to Stanford might have been a sign of things to come for the 1-2 Wildcats.

Oregon, after being battered by LSU in its season opener, 40-27, came back with a pair of non-conference wins over Nevada (69-20) and Missouri State (56-7) and appear ready to defend the conference title.

The Ducks have owned the Wildcats, winning 10 of their last 12 meetings. LaMichael James and Darron Thomas will see to it that it stays that way.

Prediction: Ducks 44 Wildcats 20

All times Eastern - Click here for early games

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